Thread:Fedora Kid/@comment-2091662-20150505182557/@comment-1734566-20150506234501

My UPDATED rankings/predictions/preferences:


 * 1) Spencer and Joe, obviously, are both locks.
 * 2) Mike: Obviously the hero of the most recent season, popular with both casuals and real fans.
 * 3) Stephen: Allegedly a smart player, and he also has the benefit of his podcast fame through Rob C. Easy campaigning outlet.
 * 4) Kelly Wigles: The only person left from S1 - she's got a LOCK on the nostalgia vote.
 * 5) Abi-Maria: The only representative from an amazing season, and a solid villainness in her own right.
 * 6) Vytas: People seem to really like him and his backstory.
 * 7) Troyzan: One of the few good people from OW, and very memorable.
 * Max: Really hard to rank him between Vytas, Troy, and Keith, but I'd argue that he has the benefit of potential not yet realized, as well as recency plus his partnership with Shirin.
 * 1) Keith: I think people ultimately liked him more than hated him by the end of S29, but he does have to compete with (stupid) Jeremy for the casual/recency vote.
 * 2) Brad: Sadly, for all the potential I think he had, the negative vibe from all his unnecessary hate has lingered.
 * 3) Stephanie: Sadly, didn't last really long and is from a notoriously sh***y season, so unlikely.

S30 pick predictions: Mike, Joe, and Shirin are probably locks, while Carolyn and Max have more of an uphill battle, though Max ultimately has a better shot than Carolyn, and will probably campaign more actively (probably alongside Shirin, which is a plus for him). If Max is in, then Shirin is definitely in.

MY FINAL PREDICTIONS PER GENDER:

GUYS: Andrew, Shane, Terry, Stephen, Troyzan, Vytas, Spencer, Jeremy, Mike, and Joe.

GIRLS: Kelly Wigles, Kimmi, Theresa, PG, Sabrina, Abi-Maria, Ciera, Tasha, Kass, and Shirin.