Thread:Fedora Kid/@comment-27379466-20150423002014/@comment-1734566-20150423034911

And Rodney has the numbers, but again, if Mike plays his cards carefully (he's already done a perfect job hiding them), then it could ideally go something like this:

Dan, to reassure Mike, tells him about the two-vote advantage. Dan then does basic math to show that, IF they still have Shirin, then it's the four of them - Mike, Dan, Sierra, and Shirin - vs. the Misfit Four - Rodney, Tyler, Carolyn, and Will - but Dan's extra vote gives them the advantage. They go for a less obvious target than Rodney by getting Tyler or Carolyn out (the latter especially because, unknown to them, that would also terminate her idol). Then, with a basic four over three, they pick off all of Rodney's alliance, and then at Final Five, just for the sake of it, Mike plays his idol just in case. Then it's the Blue Trio and Shirin at Final Four. If Mike wins immunity, he wins the season. If he doesn't win immunity, he either pulls some MAJOR Tony-Woo-type strings to convince them to keep him and boot Shirin, or Mike goes and the winner is a crappy one.

So...yeah, with that said, I think a Rodney victory in this battle might mean a more satisfying end to the war, because a Rodney/Tyler/Carolyn/Will Final Four is more likely to produce a satisfying winner, whereas a Mike victory hinges on Mike himself winning.