User blog:ArtDraw12/TD Theories: TD Eliminations' Analysis

Hi. I've already attempted to do this blog once, but I focused only on several eliminations, and the format was a mess. I'm back, with a new, improved format. This time I'll be analyzing ALL elimination ceremonies. Is that impossible? We'll find out. I'll try to use some in-depth analysis while writing at least some of them.

Some of you may link me to TD's page on Italian Wikipedia. To all of you who'd like to do so, I have to say that a lot of votes there are just theories, and some are even confirmed to be wrong!

Please keep in mind some of these won't be possible to be resolved without having to use theories.

And let's begin with the first theory. You possibly wonder, how to analyse the first episodes of TDI, etc. There were so many contestants, which means so many possibilities how someone voted, right? Wrong! I mean, sure, technically. But producers of the show don't want to make it too complicated, right? That's why my theory #1 is - only people who ended up in bottom two or three were the ones who got votes against them. There will be only a few exceptions, like The Sucky Outdoors, where there was a bottom two, but since Katie and Sadie were in it, it means someone else also had to get two votes. Anyway, let's begin, shall we?

Not So Happy Campers - Part 2
It's easy, right? Females voted for Zeke. But who was at least one boy who had to vote for Ezekiel so he'd be eliminated? All in all, this gives us one unknown vote, with it being most likely for Courtney. Thus, the most likely version gives 7votes for Ezekiel, and 4 for Courtney.
 * Bridgette - She was one of the females of the team, she glared at Ezekiel at the elimination ceremony, she even had a major reaction to that sexist scene. Her vote was obviously for Ezekiel.
 * Courtney - To not repeat myself, per above. She wasn't however seen reacting to this in the main Lodge. Her vote was for Ezekiel.
 * DJ - Well, he was one of the boys, and didn't react to Ezekiel's comment, nor was he glaring at him during elimination ceremony. He was also the only one except for Courtney to wear a chicken hat. He obviously voted for Courtney.
 * Duncan - He for sure voted for Ezekiel. Why? Let's begin with the fact that there were only 5 girls and 6 boys, as Zeke pointed out. Thus, the females couldn't vote him off without the help of at least one boys. Duncan was seen annoyed at Ezekiel's lack of social experience at the elimination ceremony, making him the perfect candidate for the boy who voted for sexist home schooled.
 * Eva - Voted for Ezekiel. See Bridgette and Courtney's reasoning.
 * Ezekiel - Voted for Courtney. My theory says only people from the bottom two got the votes, and he definitely didn't vote for himself. Also, he obviously would vote for a girl, and Courtney was the only girl who lost the first challenge for their team. Her poor leadership skills also costed them the second challenge.
 * Geoff - Geoff is a tricky one. Why? Because it's not said how many boys had to vote for Ezekiel. At least one of them had to, but more of them could. Thus, I believe Geoff also voted for Ezekiel. Why? He reacted to his sexist comments the most. He did try to defend him though, which makes his vote more unknown for me, but I'm pretty sure the only two boys who reacted to Zeke's comments had to be the ones who voted for him over Courtney.
 * Harold - Voted for Courtney. As I said, she costed them the challenge, she annoyed them bragging about her CIT experience, and he didn't react to Ezekiel's sexist comments.
 * Katie - Voted for Ezekiel. See any female's reasoning to see why.
 * Sadie - Voted for Ezekiel. Per above.
 * Tyler - Voted for Courtney. As I said, she costed them the challenge, annoyed them, and he didn't react to Ezekiel's comments. Also, he had one more reason to vote for her - she nominated him for the voting at first when Bridgette asked her in the Main Lodge who'd she vote for.



The Big Sleep
You'd easily expect a majority here. But who voted for Harold? Why was he even in the bottom two? So all in all, this gives us 8 votes for Eva, and 2 votes for Harold. Not bad, Eva, let's see if someone can beat your record (coughYes, you'll see son cough).
 * Bridgette - Voted for Eva. Was seen in the group that was scared of Eva's behaviour in the scene when Eva was throwing things out of her cabin. Also, No Pain, No Game pretty much confirms Bridgette's vote.
 * Courtney - Voted for Eva. She was in the mentioned group. Her confessional from the next episode clearly shows her regret over eliminating Eva, meaning she also had to vote for her.
 * DJ - Voted for Eva. He was seen in the mentioned group.
 * Duncan - Voted for Harold. He actually wasn't scared of Eva, wasn't seen in the mentioned group, and was seen trying to prevent her from beating Chris in the morning. He also pranked Harold for the first time in this episode, which means if anyone voted for Harold, it'd for sure would be him.
 * Eva - Voted for Harold. Here we use my theory #1, he was in bottom two with her, and she clearly didn't vote for herself (heck, voting for themselves was introduced in The Chefshank Redemption, so I'll skip this argument). But what could be the reason? Well, she must have found out that Duncan, a tough guy she appreciates, votes for a weak nerd, so she voted the same, thinking it's a good idea.
 * Geoff - Well, his vote is technically unknown too, as he wasn't in the mentioned group, and he also tried to prevent Eva from beating up Chris. However, everyone was scared by her anyway, and he and Duncan weren't some close friends at the time, so it wouldn't make sense for him to vote for Harold, which is why I think he voted for Eva.
 * Harold - Voted for Eva. Following my theory #1, she was in a bottom two with him. He was also in that group scared of Eva.
 * Katie - Voted for Eva. She was seen in that group that Heather tricked into hating Eva even more than before.
 * Sadie - Voted for Eva. While she wasn't seen in the group of contestants scared of Eva before the elimination ceremony, she and Katie share a brain, so she'd definitely follow Katie's vote. Katie also most likely told her about Eva's rage moment that Sadie has missed.
 * Tyler - Voted for Eva. Was seen in that group of people who witnessed Eva's rage attack.



Dodgebrawl
Just like in the case of any voting of so many contestants, let's see if it's possible to guess all the votes.
 * Beth - Voted for Noah. Definitely didn't vote for her ally. Well, at least not in this episode. And she was seen glaring at Noah for his lack of effort and sarcastic comments.
 * Cody - Voted for Noah. Shocked, NoCo fans? Well, he was one of many Gophers to be annoyed by Noah's attitude.
 * Gwen - Voted for Noah. Per above (I think I'll just start using "per above" here, because I'll be repeating myself over and over again in this case).
 * Heather - Voted for Noah. Per above, not to mention that she was visibly the most annoyed. However, I've seen a theory that she voted for Lindsay due to her going out with Tyler against the alliance's rules. Well, Heather winked at Lindsay when she got her marshmallow and Lindsay was still waiting for hers, but it was more in a playfully tone, something like "Don't worry, you'll be safe thanks to our alliance" Also, would a strategic contestant like Heather vote off her best ally, especially at the beginning of the game? I think the answer is obvious.
 * Izzy - Voted for Noah. Every Gopher was seen mad at Noah at least once in this episode.
 * Justin - Voted for Noah. Per above.
 * Leshawna - Voted for Noah. Per above. Plus, she especially expressed her dislike for him after he was confirmed to be eliminated.
 * Lindsay Voted for Noah. Per above, plus they were in the bottom two together (cough theory #1 cough).
 * Noah - Voted for Lindsay. Theory #1, Lindsay needed to have at least one vote to be in the bottom two. She left the game for a while to be with Tyler, Noah must have noticed that and ironically thought that she wasn't being helpful for the team.
 * Owen - Voted for Noah. Again, was seen angry with Noah.
 * Trent - Voted for Noah. Per above, again.

So this gives 10 votes for Noah, and 1 for Lindsay. Wow, congrats Noah, you just broke the unbreakable record of having the most votes against you.



Not Quite Famous
Finally, it's getting interesting, as we have truly unknown votes. The team split into Heather's alliance and unofficial Gwen's group. However, due to the team having 10 members now, there had to be someone who broke the tie. But who was it?
 * Beth - Voted for Justin. Confirmed by Heather in a confessional to vote with her.
 * Cody - Voted for unknown. Now there are two scenarios for Cody. A) He of course supports Gwen, so he voted for Heather. B) If you paid attention, he wasn't really bothered by Heather's actions. Even more, he enjoyed it (at least until he found out Gwen was into Trent, not him)! He could vote for Trent instead (the only other Gopher who performed in the talent contest), due to being jealous.
 * Gwen - Voted for Heather. As if it wasn't already obvious after watching the episode. Plus, you could see how angry she was when Heather was confrimed to stay.
 * Heather - Voted for Justin. Confirmed in a confessional to vote against him.
 * Izzy - Voted for Justin. Yeah, per above.
 * Justin - Voted for unknown. There are also two scenarios for Justin. A) Cody voted for Trent, so he was one of the teammates who voted for Heather, not liking what she did to Gwen. B) He also didn't care about the whole diary thing. He voted for Trent because his performance was great, and even Chris was jealous of his spotlight after his performance. Justin, being a narcisst and a fame-monger, would love to have the attention for himself.
 * Leshawna - Voted for Heather. She was visibly angry when Heather was confirmed to stay.
 * Lindsay - Voted for Justin, as confirmed by Heather's confessional.
 * Owen - Voted for Justin, per above.
 * Trent - Voted for Heather, as a loyal member of "Gwen's group."

Interesting, huh? I marked Cody's and Justin's votes as unknown because it's impossible to tell for 100% how they voted. Although the version where Cody is a part of "Gwen's group" and votes off Heather, while Justin votes for Trent, jealous of his spotlight is likely, it's not confirmed. Heck, they both could vote for Trent.

The Sucky Outdoors
This one seems to be another impossible to resolve mystery. Will I be able to tell who exactly voted for Katie and who for Sadie? Also, it's the only (or one of a few, we'll see) case where someone outside of the bottom two gets votes against them because Katie and Sadie wouldn't vote for each other. Wow, that's possibly the only elimination ceremony where none of the votes are 100% confirmed. However, following my explanations, it can be said that there were 5 votes for Katie, 2 votes for Sadie, and 2 votes for Tyler. So yeah, I had to get something wrong, one more vote for Sadie would be needed for her to be in the bottom 2, and Tyler to be in the bottom 3. If you have better ideas, based on some evidence, you can share it in the comments.
 * Bridgette - Voted for unknown, possibly for Katie. Here's where I'll have to start using theories rather than just some facts. By the way she comforted Sadie in the next episode it appears she was closer with Sadie than with Katie. Then again, she'd possibly do the same if the roles were reversed. Anyway, let's say she voted for Katie because of this.
 * Courtney - Voted for Sadie. Although, it technically should be "unknown" as well, Courtney was overall getting along with Katie more than with Sadie. She pretty much appeared to be friends with Katie in Dodgebrawl.
 * DJ - Voted for unknown, possibly for Sadie. Just like Courtney, DJ appeared to get along with Katie more, as was seen in Not So Happy Campers - Part 1 or Dodgebrawl.
 * Duncan - Voted for unknown, possibly for Katie. Unlike the others, he clearly was fed up with both of the girls. Since Katie needed more votes to be eliminated, I assume he voted for her.
 * Geoff - Voted for unknown, possibly for Katie. Per abvove. No bigger bond with any of them, and Katie needed more votes.
 * Harold - Voted for Katie. There is a video on YT where most of their "hidden interactions" that are too minor to be mentioned on Everyone and Harold are listed. Harold was secretly a close friend with Sadie, so he of course chose Katie over her.
 * Katie - Voted for unknown, possibly for Tyler. Well, Tyler was the last person before Sadie to get his marshmallow. If this means he was in the bottom three, then Katie and Sadie had to vote for him. Why? I don't know. For the way he hit Sadie with a ball in Dodgebrawl? For his lack of talent at the auditions in Not Quite Famous? Simply for being goofy? Tbh, it'd make more sense if they voted for Bridgette, who burmed her team's tent in that episode, but apparently no one told them about this accident, so they had to vote for Tyler due to his clumsiness.
 * Sadie - Voted for unknown, possibly for Tyler. Per above.
 * Tyler - Voted for unknown, possibly for Katie. He was glaring at them along with rest of their team when it was revealed they costed the Bass the challenge. He also didn't have a strong bong with any of them, so, since majority of the votes had to go for Katie, he possibly voted for her.

Phobia Factor
To be continued.