Thread:BarBar/@comment-1734566-20150523045206/@comment-1734566-20150524064954

Shoot, I'm not gonna lie - I am now officially OBSESSING over who could possibly be the other three people in Shane's alliance. Time for DEDUCTION!

OK, so 20 people. First, we must go for the obvious differentiation: Gender. It's pretty clear Shane gets along/talks with the guys far more than women; that's just who he is. But nevertheless, let's look at the women: Ciera, Tasha, and Monica, whom he confirmed are in an alliance (more on that later). Kass, whom Shane said approached him for an alliance (along with everyone else), only for him to reject her. Abi-Maria, whom Shane wrote off as someone who is "desperate to stay safe," and not a good player. So five remain: Shirin, Kelley, Kelly, PG, and Kimmi. He admits to having a great reverence for Kelly, as the original runner-up, which is the most positive thing he had to say about any of the women. He couldn't even refer to Shirin by her actual name the first time he mentioned her - instead calling her "that poor woman," and also admitting that she geeked out over him at the reunion show, with selfies and whatnot, and he was kinda taken aback. If they were talking before, I'll bet she wouldn't have that kind of reaction to seeing an ally again. He literally did not refer to Kelley or PG at all, which could either be a misdirect or just him not knowing or caring. If I had to take a shot in the dark, based on comments he made about disliking the general attitude of "new players," I'm thinking he might be leaning more towards older players. So if anyone of the girls, I'd think probably either Kelly or PG. But again, I'm thinking more in the men's department, so let's go to that...

Let's rule out the obvious ones: Spencer, who's in the alliance with Ciera, Tasha, and Monica. Keith, whom Shane says was making zero efforts of forming a pre-game alliance. Woo, since Shane expressed disdain for him more than anyone else. Stephen, whom Shane blatantly confirmed is NOT in the alliance. Joe, whom Shane also talked some smack about and believes should and could be the first boot. So then we have five: Deitz, Savage, Varner, Vytas, and Jeremy. I think Deitz is an obvious one, since they were together on a season and he talked up a storm about Deitz. His mentioning of Deitz and Savage as a pair also implies that Savage is the second one. So then the third, hypothetically, is either Varner, Vytas, or Jeremy. Again, like Shirin, his first mention of Varner was "that Varner guy," so again, could be misdirect or just genuine lack of knowledge about him. Vytas would make a lot of sense, since both he and Shane played with Aras; HOWEVER, he talked a LOT of smack about Vytas "not being OK with himself" over his criminal past and whatnot, so I'm thinking it may not be likely. And then Jeremy, whom Shane did talk up a good storm about as well. The only thing, to me, again, is the separation based on old contestants and new.

So my final deduction is that two of the three are more than likely Deitz and Savage. The third is a tossup between Varner, Vytas, Jeremy, Kelly, PG, and Shirin. What do you think? You've seen Shane's season, so do you think he'd automatically lean more towards older contestants or give the newbies a shot? Would he consider having a woman in the alliance, or would it be just a bunch of alpha-males like the Three Amigos all over again?