Thread:BarBar/@comment-1734566-20150319025341/@comment-1734566-20150319221036

OK, that's a great point too. I mean, let's just look at ALL the possibilities/factors now:

1. Obviously, we know how tight Joe/Jenn/Hali are. Will was obviously the bottom of that totem pole up until the swap. With Joe gone, Will was forced closer to Jenn and Hali, which they're now totally fine with, with absolute loyalty. Plus, him being such a liability in challenges, while still really likable, makes him an ideal non-target post-merge loyal ally. So, assuming that they all survive to the merge (which I think they will - Joe has little to no target on his back), the 4 No Collars regroup and could easily go all the way.

2. Mike and Dan are still close, even though Mike is trying so hard to keep Dan's head in the game and out of emotions. Before the swap, it was clear that Dan, Mike, and Kelly were in a tight alliance that included Rodney, where he thought he was in charge but the rest were all ready to dump him. If all three of them can survive to the merge, they should regroup and try to keep Rodney. But...

3. ...Rodney, as of next week, is looking to form a tight bond with Joaquin. So what? Does this pull Tyler in, and subsequently, Carolyn at a merge? So does that make a Carolyn/Tyler/Joaquin/Rodney alliance? Doubt it; if Carolyn couldn't stand Shirin and Max, she'll HATE Rodney. And where DOES that leave Shirin? As I said, I think she could EASILY float to the end as a total goat.

4. Sierra. She's clearly trying to get Joaquin, Tyler, and Joe, but Joaquin is looking to be tight with Rodney, so does that turn Rodney into the next big target on that tribe, or does that do what I speculated and bring ALL the guys together to just vote out Sierra? Heck, where DOES Sierra go post-merge? The only other Blue Collar girl left, Kelly, is NOT close to Sierra. Does she go to Shirin? That's a dead zone. The Red Collar people? They're tight enough and don't need another Blue Collar with Kelly on their side.

5. What's Carolyn's plan here? Stick with the Red Collars and, at the merge, pull in Joaquin and Tyler for an alliance of 7, even though the three White Collars in that group are clearly outnumbered?

See, unlike last season - where the chaos was confusing to the point of frustration because of poor editing and uninteresting players - THIS season's confusion is PERFECT because it's so entertaining, and puts SO many different, entertaining, and interesting players with each other, and against each other, with all hell breaking loose and NO predictability.

But my prediction nonetheless: I say the 4 Red Collars regroup at the merge and go REALLY far, if not all the way - JENN FTW.