User blog:Epic~00/Total Drama All Stars Elimination Prediction

So let's take a break from the countdown for a moment. I've been working on this calculation for a while on what I predict will be the elimination order. Not in a way that I hope, but in a way that I think.

Teams
We know that there are two teams: The Heroic Hamsters and The Villainous Vultures.

The Heroic Hamsters: Cameron, Gwen, Lindsay, Mike, Sam, Sierra, Zoey

The VIllainous Vultures: Alejandro, Duncan, Courtney, Heather, Jo, Lightning, Scott

One thing about Total Drama: Revenge of the Island is that it made team members go onto other teams more than once. Scott, Brick, and Jo have all been on both teams in that season. Considering how it can be argued on who's a hero and who's a villian, I have a feeling that there will be some team switching, but I'll get to that later.

With these teams in mind, it factors into how the elimination would play out, especially considering how much of a friendship/conflict some of these characters have. Let's begin.

Elimination
Before I start, let me just say that Courtney will probably start off on The Heroic Hamsters, and Gwen will start off on the Villainous Vultures (bear with me).

14th: Lightning


Because this is Total Drama All Stars, and it's a recurring theme for the underdog to get far, I predict that Lightning will go first in the game. Ones who care too much about victory could easily go first. And considering how Lightning cares so much about victory, I think that he will be gone pretty early at the least.

13th: Heather


Heather is a contestant that the majority of the other contestants don't like. She's bossy, forceful, and selfish to the others. What saved her from being booted early in TDI was her alliance with Beth, and, more prominently, Lindsay. That, and her strategic methods.

Then when everyone figured out how manipulative Heather was, she was pretty hated in TDA. What protected her from being voted off early was her team winning many times, Gwen costing a challenge for the other team,  and D.J. quitting. But when her team finally lost for once, she was eliminated.

In TDWT, the conflict between Gwen and Courtney didn't involve Heather, so she was pretty much safe from the vote when her team voted off someone for the first and only time.

When the teams merged, Alejandro got rid of Owen. The elimination that followed that was the tie votes on Courtney and Blaineley. Then Duncan was eliminated because of Heather and Alejandro's new alliance (and Cody and Sierra not liking Duncan), then Sierra went because she was disqualified, and then Cody went for losing a challenge against Alejandro.

But this time, I don't think Heather is as safe. After all, she destroyed what could've been an alliance with Alejandro, so noone is on her good side now, except maybe Cody and Harold (but they won't be in this season).

12th: Jo


Losing two times in a row would be pretty tough for someone as victory seeking as Jo, so she would try many forceful methods to win. But considering that she's on a team with Courtney, the two would probably get in some sort of conflict with each other, eventually resulting in Jo leaving.

11th: Duncan


If Courtney already got rid of Gwen before, her next course of action would be to get rid of Duncan. Considering she (presumably) still trusts Alejandro, the two would probably vote for Duncan. But let's look at Scott (who I think would still be on the team). If he would clash with any character, it would be Duncan. You know? Two violent competitors that are hated by a lot of other competitiors? Both very deceptive of others? Yeah. I think that Scott would probably vote for Duncan, resulting in his elimination.

10th: Cameron


Yeah, I know. This may contradict what I said about how underdogs normally get really far in the game. Heck, Cameron was the underdog of Season 4. But I have three other underdogs in my head that would get farther than Cameron.

Cameron is good friends with Mike, and Zoey, who would probably never vote for him. If the Heroic Hamsters were to ever lose, half of the team would probably vote for Cameron just because, while not hating him, half would probably not consider him useful. It's the same reason that Cody was voted off in TDI. Besides, there are tiebreakers as we see in World Tour and they seem pretty physical (something Cameron isn't good at). Which can result in his potential elimination.

9th: Zoey


I don't really know how to explain this one. I guess it's just that, besides Cameron, everyone on Zoey's team have shown a great deal of worth and from what I've seen of them, and from the calculations that I've done, I don't think that she would get as far as others on her team.

8th: Scott


Assuming that the Vultures lose again, and Alejandro and Courtney are still in an alliance, they would probably band together to get rid of Scott.

7th: Gwen


Because Duncan, Heather, and Gwen normally make it really far usually, I think that Gwen will be gone. However, Gwen didn't make it past the merge in World Tour yet she made it reasonably far. I think it will be the same for this season. After all, Sierra already hates Gwen, so she would vote for her straight away.

6: Mike


If Alejandro were to get rid of any of the new competitors, it would be Mike. Mike would be very wary of a shady person, especially if it was someone like Scott. I believe that Alejandro would get rid of Mike pretty easily since the teams are merged.

5: Alejandro


Alejandro will most likely be, out of all of them, the antagonist of Season 5. The others have already been found out, and don't have much to defend themselves against the hatred that is given to them. Alejandro uses his looks, and smoothness to convince others to not get rid of him. It's what made him get so far in ''World Tour. ''But for whatever reason, Courtney still trusts him. But once the teams merge, I think that eventually Courtney would discover Alejandro's true self, and try to get rid of him, resulting in his elimination.

4th: Sierra


You know what pattern I noticed in TDWT? It's the way that the new contestants were eliminated. When Blaineley joined, it meant that we had three new competitors to join the old ones.

But Blaineley went in a double elimination with Courtney meaning that she was 7th/6th Place. If you go back in threes from 7 to 1, you will find the new competitors

7th Place: Blaineley

4th Place: Sierra

1st Place: Alejandro

Everything goes on threes. Unless you think Heather was the winner, in which case Blaineley came sixth, meaning that the elimination of the three new competitors went in two's.

6th Place: Blaineley

4th Place: Sierra

2nd Place: Alejandro

"But what does this have to do with ''Total Drama All Stars?" ''you may ask.

Well, while I highly doubt that neither Sierra or Alejandro will win, I think that they will get pretty far. But rather than do some sort of math with them, I think that it will just be one followed by the other immediately after.

3rd: Sam


Sam is one of the underdogs for this season. No doubt. Not many people really hate him (at least none of the ones that get past the merge), so I think that I he would get pretty far.

But what makes me not think that Sam will reach the Final 2 is a number of reasons.

1: Everytime that there is a Final 3, there's normally a challenge to decide who's eliminated. Honestly, Sam isn't really that successful. He's relatively klutzy, and never really contributed much to his team.

2: There was a guy vs guy match last season, so there'll probably be a girl vs girl match this season.

3: If the challenge is like the one in Total Drama Revenge of the Island, where the winner gets to choose who's eliminated, the loser would be Sam. Because of how strong willed and competitive Courtney is, she would probably choose to make Sam leave. She doesn't think much of Lindsay so would see Sam as more of a threat than her.

1: Courtney/Lindsay


I can't decide. Both of these contestants have such a huge chance of winning, that it would be hard to figure out a winner.

Let's start with Lindsay. All of her losses so far have been purely unfair. In TDI, she came last in a race only because she was only one of two who finished it. She lost unfairly in TDA for accidentaly voting herself off because of Beth, and she lost unfairly in TDWT for losing a tiebreaker that her opponent was trying to lose in. This time, I don't think that there will be anything that's stopping Lindsay from getting two, at the very least, the merge.

Courtney on the other hand, follows a similar reason that Heather made it so far in TDWT: Everyone pretty much hates her, but she will make it to the Final Two anyways. After setting up this big story arc for Courtney ever since that jerk, Duncan cheated on her, I think it's setting up for Courtney to make it to the final two and possibly win. It's always the one you least expect (Owen, Beth, Heather, Alejandro Cameron), and Courtney's one you'd least expect to make it to the Final 2.